$2.5B in BTC Call Spreads Target $72K by July 31 as Fed Decision Looms
What happened: Deribit saw $2.
What happened: Deribit saw $2.5 billion in notional value placed on BTC bull call spreads—20,000 contracts each at $70,000 and $72,000 strikes, expiring July 31. The trade structure caps upside above $72,000 in exchange for a lower entry cost. The Federal Reserve’s next meeting is set for July 29, just before expiry, with markets pricing in a 75–80% chance of a rate hold at 3.50%–3.75%.
Why it matters: The size and precision of these trades suggest institutional positioning ahead of a potential volatility event tied to Fed policy. However, the capped structure indicates traders are not betting on an explosive rally, but rather a controlled move. If the Fed delivers as expected, the anticipated volatility may not materialize, potentially leaving these options out-of-the-money.
Source: CoinDesk