Analyst: $92.6K BTC Target Possible If 200-Week SMA Holds Despite Nasdaq Drop
What happened: Technical analyst Filbfilb notes that Bitcoin is defending its 200-week simple moving average (SMA) near $61,880—a level that has historically marked cycle bottoms.
What happened: Technical analyst Filbfilb notes that Bitcoin is defending its 200-week simple moving average (SMA) near $61,880—a level that has historically marked cycle bottoms. If this support holds, the next major upside target is the 50-week SMA at $92,630. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq fell over 4% on Friday, its steepest drop since April 2025, raising concerns about broader market contagion. The BTC/Nasdaq ratio's RSI hit a record-low 14.70, a level that previously preceded a 30%+ BTC rebound.
Why it matters: This technical setup offers a contrarian bullish thesis: while institutional flows are negative, price structure and relative strength indicators suggest a possible rebound. The tension between on-chain/ETF flows and technical signals underscores the market's uncertainty. If the 200-week SMA fails, downside risk increases; if it holds, a sharp rally could follow.
Source: Cointelegraph