Bitcoin Triggers Bear Flag Pattern at New Year's Open, Setting Sights on $76,000 Downside Target
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure as a bear flag pattern forms on the daily chart, fueling fresh price targets at $76,000 and potentially lower. With BTC trading around $92,479, the market is registering multiple bearish divergence signals and a clear loss of upward momentum — prompting analysts to warn that the current correction may not be over yet. Bear Flag Activates $76,000 Target In his latest report, trader Roman says
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure as a bear flag pattern forms on the daily chart, fueling fresh price targets at $76,000 and potentially lower.
With BTC trading around $92,479, the market is registering multiple bearish divergence signals and a clear loss of upward momentum — prompting analysts to warn that the current correction may not be over yet.
Bear Flag Activates $76,000 Target
In his latest report, trader Roman says Bitcoin could drop another roughly 17% from current levels.
After bottoming out near $80,000, BTC staged a recovery but only managed to form a shallow ascending channel — the textbook structure of a bear flag, which typically resolves with a breakdown to new lows.
Roman wrote on X:
"Let the drop to $76,000 begin. Bearish divergences and bearish price action are doing their work."
He also noted that macroeconomic factors — while driving a strong rally in equities — have failed to generate the same tailwind for crypto. Even expectations of lower U.S. interest rates haven't been enough to provide support.
Roman argued:
"Bitcoin has already rallied 750% from its macro bottom of $15,600 in 2022. The bull run is over. The best move now is to prepare for the next cycle when price comes back around $50,000."
Throughout 2025, Roman has repeatedly flagged market weakness, pointing in particular to declining RSI readings on higher timeframes.
A Divided Market: Bears Growing Louder, but Buying Demand Isn't Dead
Roman isn't alone — other traders have also drawn parallels between the current bear flag and the 2022 breakdown, when Bitcoin slid from $40,000 all the way down to $15,000.
That said, the market is far from universally bearish.
Bull Market Support Band Still Holding — A Lifeline for Bulls
Trader Luca sees a silver lining: Bitcoin is still trading above the Bull Market Support Band — comprised of the 21-period SMA and the 20-period EMA.
This band has long been regarded as Bitcoin's safety net during pullbacks within an ongoing bull cycle.
Luca wrote:
"If price bounces from this support, the medium-term trend could flip bullish again."
According to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView, BTC is on track to close its fourth consecutive daily candle above the support band — the longest such streak since early October.
Conclusion: Bitcoin at a Crossroads
The market is clearly split into two camps:
Bears (Bearish)
- Bear flag pattern on the daily chart.
- Multiple bearish divergences on RSI and MACD.
- Price targets: $76,000 → $50,000.
Bulls (Bullish)
- Price is still holding above the Bull Market Support Band.
- A strong bounce could restore the medium-term uptrend.
As Bitcoin continues to test this critical support zone, investors are watching closely to determine whether this is the start of another leg down — or the launchpad for a new bull cycle.