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BTC $96,420 +2.34% ETH $3,280 +1.82% SOL $185.40 -0.92% BNB $642.50 +0.45% XRP $2.18 +3.12% DOGE $0.082 -1.50% ADA $1.05 +0.80% AVAX $42.10 +1.15%
BTC $96,420 +2.34% ETH $3,280 +1.82% SOL $185.40 -0.92% BNB $642.50 +0.45% XRP $2.18 +3.12% DOGE $0.082 -1.50% ADA $1.05 +0.80% AVAX $42.10 +1.15%
07/12/2026

Fidelity: Bitcoin Nears Power-Law Support, No Bounce Without Catalyst

What happened: Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer, highlighted that Bitcoin is approaching the lower bound of a power-law support model the firm has tracked since 2015, with the suppo

Fidelity: Bitcoin Nears Power-Law Support, No Bounce Without Catalyst

What happened: Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer, highlighted that Bitcoin is approaching the lower bound of a power-law support model the firm has tracked since 2015, with the support line at $58,237. Bitcoin is currently trading around $62,700, representing a -56% deviation from the trendline—levels last seen during the 2018 and 2022 bear market lows. Timmer described the current range as an "accumulation zone" but cautioned that a sustained rebound is unlikely without a new liquidity catalyst.

Why it matters: The analysis suggests Bitcoin may face further sideways or downward pressure absent macroeconomic or market-specific catalysts. Other analysts interpret the $58K–$65K range as potentially bearish, and Timmer's comments underscore the risk of prolonged stagnation if speculative capital continues to rotate into other assets like gold or semiconductor stocks. The four-year halving cycle may also be less predictive in the current environment.

Source: CoinDesk