Prediction Markets Price GPT-6 September Release at 77%
What happened: On-chain prediction markets Polymarket and Myriad are pricing a 77% probability that OpenAI's GPT-6 will be released by September 30, 2026, with Polymarket's contract seeing $731,000 in
What happened: On-chain prediction markets Polymarket and Myriad are pricing a 77% probability that OpenAI's GPT-6 will be released by September 30, 2026, with Polymarket's contract seeing $731,000 in trading volume. Odds for an August release remain much lower. OpenAI has not officially announced GPT-6 or its specifications, and its current flagship model is "GPT-5.6 Sol," released in early July.
Why it matters: The surge in market odds reflects strong trader sentiment but not confirmed insider information. While prediction markets are often cited for their "wisdom of crowds," their relatively small size means a few large bets can move prices significantly. The speculation underscores the market's anticipation for the next leap in AI language models, but until OpenAI makes an official announcement, these odds remain just that—speculation.
Source: Decrypt