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06/20/2026

Schwab Enters Prediction Markets with S&P 500 Event-Based Options

What happened: Charles Schwab is partnering with Cboe Global Markets to offer binary options on the S&P 500, allowing clients to bet on index moves with fixed payouts.

Schwab Enters Prediction Markets with S&P 500 Event-Based Options

What happened: Charles Schwab is partnering with Cboe Global Markets to offer binary options on the S&P 500, allowing clients to bet on index moves with fixed payouts. The product includes a "Plus Zone" feature for partial payouts when predictions are directionally correct but not precise. This launch is expected in the coming months and marks a reversal for Schwab, whose CEO previously criticized prediction markets as blurring the line between investing and gambling.

Why it matters: Schwab's entry, following moves by Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Robinhood, signals growing institutional acceptance of event-based trading products. However, unlike peer-to-peer prediction markets, Schwab's offering is structured as a regulated binary option, not a decentralized market. The regulatory distinction and focus on financial indices (not politics or sports) may shape the sector's evolution.

Source: CoinDesk